Each year, we search out sex offender data from all 50 states to see which regions have the largest registries and how rates of sex-related offenses are changing across the country. Unfortunately, in 2024, the total number of registered sex offenders approached 800,000 nationwide, and the population-adjusted rate of registrants increased by about two percent.
In addition to searching every state’s sex offender database, we also analyzed publicly available crime and child abuse data to determine if regional patterns exist regarding sexual violence in the U.S.
Here are some of our key findings:
So basically, the registry does NOT act as a deterrent but soon with surpass the national population census for having the most people on it.
Article written by a “ Home Security Expert”. Or simply translated to mean some idiot that thinks he can scare people into using the service with twisted numbers and false claims. I went to their comment section and gave them the what for.
Is this accurate? Everything from CASOMB always says we have 100,000 people or more registered out here in California.
This article is meaningless nonsense, inferring causations and correlations without facts, but unfortunately an uninformed reader will believe the narrative. Of course an org that justifies itself based purely on the existence of the registries is going to pretend, with very bad statistical analysis (or actually lack thereof), that looking at the number of registrants tells a story, and the story is that very bad sex crimes are on the rise.
Maybe they are, maybe they aren’t, but the data he presented cannot lead to any meaningful conclusion because of how each state manages their registry, the offenses included, whether there is an offramp, etc. You cannot mix up 50 different things in a salad and draw conclusions. Further, he makes it sound like rape and sexual abuse crimes against children are what is driving these numbers up. Who can tell from this data? If tween sexting gets kids on the registry and CP stings are occurring regularly, then he is entirely wrong. But it would be no fun to talk about the guy who peed on the roadside and is now on the registry, or the two 14 year-olds who sent each other nudie pics are now on the registry, or even a 19 yo who was busted for sex with a 15 yo 25 years ago and they have been married ever since. Where’s the fun in telling people that’s also who is on their beloved registry?
He also makes the claim that registries are valuable tools in keeping the public safe – where’s that evidence? We know that’s not true. But easy to make an unfounded statement and the lemmings will eat it up. This entire article is self-serving BS to make himself feel good about what he is doing with his life.
I am more interested in the Recidivism Rate. Of course if the rates of offense is going up, that is bad. But for justifying a registry, you need to show the Recidivism Rate and explain why you spend all this time and effort tracking people for over 5 years and taking away their freedoms.
According to the TX Dept of Public Safety that oversees the registry, the actual number is closer to 100,000 vs the 75,000 reported in the article. I thought CA was closer to 100,000 vs the 60,000 reported in the article. These two states combined have approximately 1/4 of the registered people in the country. The majority of offenses in TX are life sentences. And in TX, it is almost impossible to be removed from the registry. Texas prides itself on being tough on crime vs smart on crime. I wonder how much taxpayer money has been wasted in TX since the in inception of the TX registry.
I was under the impression that the National registry had 900,00+ listed registrants with California closer to 100,000K. Has Janice and ACSOL work removed that many from our registry? Or is this Safehome Guru article just in accurate like so many others.
Rob Gabriele (writer of article) is a prime example of why we have a mountain of ignorance to blast through that has persisted for decades. I don’t even know where to start with the guy. The carpet bombing of lies, half-truths and intentional misinformation reeks of an individual who wants to feel self-important by telling us how wonder and necessary the registry is.
Did the NCMEC hire him to write this?
I like how the article claims that safety is increased when the registry is “used properly” but says absolutely nothing about how to “properly use” it.
What about people who got put on the registry, that had no education, or a high-school drop out. They were given a lie detector test. The cops stopped half way threw had this guy smoke two cigarettes and drink two mountain dews. Ran the guy back in and started yelling and screaming in his face. The first half he passed. The second half they said he failed. And every time the guy said ” I didn’t do it!”. The cops said the guy said he did it. The public defender told the guy to say second interview and your going home. If you say lie detector, your going to prison for fifty years. The guy did what he was told. And thought the public defender was on his side. But he did two and a half years in prison. The guy got out . Went home to Fla from Indiana. To go home the guy had to take another lie detector test. And passed it completely. The gentleman that did the test asked “what happened?” The guy told him the story i just told you. He said what the police did was not legal. All tha5 was in 2003. Now in 2025. The guy is free in indiana. The guy did the ten years after he got off probation. Now it’s been 23 years and the state that did this no longer has him on the registry. But the two other states he had live in still have him on the registry. And the guy has been in no trouble at all not even a seat belt ticket. Nothing. He stays away from everyone. The only family he has now is his youngest daughter, that he did get to raise. The people who did this to him. The guy only had them for three months. And he just wanted his kids back. And a out of state guy moving to Indiana. That is where he messed up. But he did get his diploma. And everything was just to late. But how many other people in all the states, have had this done to them. There are bad people out there. But not all are what they were turned into.